Market Commentary

Are Investors Counting Their Eggs Before They Hatch?

Posted by Ryan Driscoll on Feb 11, 2019

Topic: Market Commentary

Beginning in January and now continuing into February, stock markets have rallied on positive news in areas of concern – mostly on the policy front. We remain cautious as in our view, policy risk tends to be the most difficult to price, but also the most likely to surprise...

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Year-End Update and 2019 Investment Outlook

Posted by Mark J.P. Anson on Jan 2, 2019

Topic: Market Commentary

As we bid farewell to 2018 and head into 2019, I am pleased to provide you with an update on developments at Commonfund as well as our perspective on the markets and investing. Our roots as a not-for-profit organization dedicated to advancing the financial interests of institutional investors provides...

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Bah Humbug…No Presents from the Fed This Year

Posted by Ryan Driscoll on Dec 19, 2018

Topic: Market Commentary

But at least it’s not the Grinch Who Stole Christmas...Recent volatility in the financial markets and a bit of softer inflation data had investors hoping for a holiday season treat from the FOMC in December. An immediate pause in interest rates was very unlikely, but some guidance towards a slower pace in...

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Three Reasons Investors Should be Optimistic

Posted by Ryan Driscoll on Nov 9, 2018

Topic: Market Commentary

The markets are certainly making investors uncomfortable lately. However, market corrections, especially late in the cycle should be expected and can be healthy. We have experienced five sell-offs (and recoveries!) of similar magnitude in the last five years. Unfortunately, 2018 brought the markets back to a more normal level of volatility after investors were lulled into a sense of riskless comfort in 2017. Despite the recent market instability, we still see three reasons to be optimistic...

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The U.S. Economy: Still Looking Strong

Posted by Ryan Driscoll on Aug 16, 2018

Topic: Market Commentary

Mid-year has come and gone and until recently the markets were behaving like it’s 2017 all over again. Through July, the S&P 500 Index has had four straight months of gains. U.S. Treasury yields are relatively contained and the 10-year bond seems to have found resistance at the 3 percent level. Lastly, it seemed as though the spike in volatility that we saw early in the year had subsided

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Wage Inflation: Is it Different This Time?

Posted by Ryan Driscoll, Kristofer Kwait on Jul 13, 2018

Topic: Industry Knowledge | Market Commentary

The Federal Reserve Governors have been waiting patiently for a meaningful jump in inflation to validate the removal of historically low interest rates that laid the foundation for the economic recovery since the financial crisis. And . . . while The Fed continues to wait . . .

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Strong Signals Support the Fed’s Path Forward

Posted by Ryan Driscoll, Kristofer Kwait on Jun 15, 2018

Topic: Industry Knowledge | Market Commentary

Ultimately, the decision to increase rates was unanimous as the vote was 8-0. Federal Reserve officials raised interest rates for the second time this year and upgraded their forecast to four total increases in 2018, as unemployment fell and inflation exceeded their targets faster than previously projected.

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A Tale of Two Markets

Posted by Ryan Driscoll on May 11, 2018

Topic: Market Commentary

Volatility returned in force the in first quarter of 2018 and both stock and bonds posted negative returns, making for a challenging quarter for investors. The resurgence in market volatility had many investors turning the calendar on March 31st with trepidation...

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After the G-Zero: Overcoming Fragmentation (login required)

Posted by Commonfund on May 7, 2018

Topic: Asset Allocation | Industry Knowledge | Investment Strategy | Market Commentary

In this Commonfund Forum 2018 general session, featured speaker Ian Bremmer shares his insights and views to help us understand the broader global issues we need to consider as we formulate policy portfolios for the years ahead.

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Trade Wars and the Land of the Rising Sun

Posted by Mark J.P. Anson on Apr 26, 2018

Topic: Industry Knowledge | Market Commentary

The trade wars began with the United States and China but have now expanded to Japan as well. With Russia, the U.S., and the U.K. all looking inwardly, emerging market nations need another superpower to turn to for foreign direct investment, infrastructure, and other economic support.

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