Episode 6
Is a recession coming? Commonfund's Chief Investment Strategist Kris Kwait joins host Anita Hariton to break down the latest macro dashboard, including an upgrade to monetary policy and a downgrade to market sentiment. Despite a rapid U.S. stock market pullback — one of the fastest ten percent declines on record — fundamentals remain largely intact. Kris discusses why Commonfund views tariffs as more of a negotiation than a trade war, the rising but manageable probability of recession, and what a Fed put could mean for markets. The episode also explores the U.S. debt burden, fiscal policy risks, and the hidden warning signs Commonfund watches for in times of uncertainty.