Posts by Arjun Sawai

Market Commentary | Insights Blog

How Long Can the Yen Carry Trade Carry On?

Since Japan's economic crash in the 1990s, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) has maintained extremely low interest rates to combat deflation. For nearly a decade, Japan's benchmark rate has been negative,...
Market Commentary | Insights Blog

The Fed and Markets Expectations Start to Align

It took six months, but the FOMC and the short-term rates markets are finally in alignment with respect to the level of the Fed Funds rate as we approach the second half of 2024. Since the beginning...
Market Commentary | Insights Blog

What's Driving Surprisingly Low Volatility in Energy Markets?

In the current geopolitical environment, we would have historically expected much more volatility in the energy complex. Oddly, that has not been the case over the last 6 months. In fact, crude oil...
Market Commentary | Insights Blog

China Continues to Drag Emerging Markets into 2024

2023 marked the third year of drawdowns for the Chinese equity markets, reflecting a country still trying to emerge from the pandemic period. A combination of factors continued to hamper the once...
Market Commentary | Insights Blog

Lagarde Offers Little Comfort Amidst All Time High ECB Rates

Last Thursday marked the tenth hike of the European Central Bank (“ECB”) deposit rate.
Market Commentary | Insights Blog

Markets Signal Higher for Longer Interest Rates

Market sentiment on bonds continues to trend lower, leaving the overall open interest in short-dated U.S. Treasury futures net short at an unprecedented level. There is the potential that these short...